Daily Forex Market by FXCC


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  1. #161
    alayoua

    Market Overview by FXCC Oct 25 2012

    Market Overview by FXCC Oct 25 2012

    RBNZ rate cut expected ‘next few months'

    As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its cash rate on hold at 2.5% today, with Gov. Wheeler noting that market sentiment has improved, that the risks to the global outlook have become more balanced, that a strong NZD undermines the fundamentals of the NZ’s economy, which, he says, is expected to continue growing at a modest pace.

    Daniel Martin, economist at Capital Economics (Asia) notes: “Recent data suggest that GDP stabilised or even picked up slightly in Q3, after a slowdown in Q2. However, we expect subdued global growth and currency strength to prompt the RBNZ into a rate cut over the next few months.”
    Read More
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/25102012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-10-25 08:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Gross Domestic Product
    2012-10-25 12:30 GMT | United States. Durable Goods Orders
    2012-10-25 21:00 GMT | New Zealand. Trade Balance
    2012-10-25 23:30 GMT | Japan. National Consumer Price Index

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-10-25 05:29 GMT | EUR/USD stops come first, technicals later
    2012-10-25 04:41 GMT | GBP/USD in tight range ahead of UK GDP data
    2012-10-25 03:28 GMT | AUD/JPY retesting 83.00 range resistance
    2012-10-25 01:32 GMT | AUD/USD slowly inching higher; key Fibo nearby

    ---------------
    EURUSD : 1.29861 / 1.29864
    DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY



    1.3029 | 1.3013 | 1.2997
    1.2977 | 1.2961 | 1.2945

    SUMMARY : Down
    TREND : Upward penetration
    MA10 : Bullish
    MA20 : Bullish
    STOCHASTIC : Neutral


    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Technical Summary: EURUSD stabilized on the positive side today and attempt to reach yesterday high. If it fails to overcome it we expect further market decline as main scenario for today. Main scenario: Risk of further market weakening is seen below the next support level at 1.2977 (S1). Break here is required to expose next targets at 1.2961 (S2) and 1.2945 (S3). Alternative scenario: In case of market appreciation above the next resistance at 1.2997 (R1), we suggest next target at 1.3013 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 1.3029 (R3).

    -----------------
    GBPUSD : 1.60472 / 1.60479
    DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY



    1.6095 | 1.6081 | 1.6067
    1.6048 | 1.6033 | 1.6019

    SUMMARY : Up
    TREND : Up trend
    MA10 : Bullish
    MA20 : Bullish
    STOCHASTIC : Overbought


    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Technical Summary: GBPUSD gained momentum on the positive side and currently trades on its high. We expect further price appreciation later on today towards to our resistance levels. Main scenario: Our next resistance level is placed at 1.6067(R1). Clearance here would suggest next targets at 1.6081(R2) and 1.6095 (R3). Alternative scenario: Fall below the support level at 1.6048 (S1) would provide us with a signal of further downtrend formation. We expect next targets at 1.6033 (S2) and 1.6019 (S3) in such scenario.

    -------------------
    USDJPY : 80.054 / 80.058
    DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY



    80.50 : 80.34 : 80.17
    79.95 : 79.79 : 79.63

    SUMMARY | Up
    TREND | Up trend
    MA10 | Bullish
    MA20 | Bullish
    STOCHASTIC | Overbought


    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Technical Summary: Instrument has settled correction on the hourly timeframe and currently trades under the bullish pressure. Further rise is likely scenario for today. Main scenario: We expect attack to the next resistance level at 80.17 (R1). Clearance here is required for the instrument strengthening towards to our next targets at 80.34 (R2) and 80.50 (R3) in potential. Alternative scenario: The downside trend evolvement is limited by next support level 79.95 (S1), break here might lead to the targets execution at 79.79 (S2) and 79.63 (S3).

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Trading Account | ECN Forex Trading Courses | Forex Currency Trading System )

  2. #162
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 06 2012

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 06 2012

    Greece submits austerity bill to parliament; narrow win expected

    The Greece government submitted on Monday the €13.5bn austerity bill to parliament. Now the next step is to vote for it, first to be considered by parliamentary committees on Tuesday and a full vote on Wednesday. Despite there has been some defectors the ruling coalition, expectations are pointing for a narrow win, thought to be enough to not jeopardize the next aid tranche worth over EUR 31.5 billion. According to James Coleman, Founder at Forexlive: "A failure to pass the austerity law would send the entire bailout process into chaos and rise the prospect of Greece defaulting later this month. A much weaker euro would result."

    As the Guardian UK notes: "Democratic Left, the junior partner in the coalition, tells us it will abstain on the vote and predicts a narrow win for Antonis Samaras's government." A Reuters report raised concerns earlier on Monday, after it suggested that eurozone leaders will hold out any decision on the next disbursement to Greece until the last minute, that is, the next November 12 EU official meeting may yet again disappoint on this front as no guarantee of a decision seems in sight.- FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/06112012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-06 **:** GMT | United Kingdom. 10-y Bond Auction
    2012-11-06 08:58 GMT | European Monetary Union. Markit Services PMI
    2012-11-06 10:00 GMT | European Monetary Union. Producer Price Index
    2012-11-06 20:00 GMT | New Zealand. RBNZ Financial Stability Report

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-06 05:09 GMT | USD/JPY drags down to 80.00
    2012-11-06 05:02 GMT | AUD/USD wins +1.04 battle; scope for further gains
    2012-11-06 04:24 GMT | AUD/NZD penetrates into new 1.2580-1.2670 range
    2012-11-06 04:23 GMT | GBP/AUD dip stalls ahead of 50% Fibo

    --------------------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.28032 LOW 1.27818 BID 1.27886 ASK 1.27892 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08 : 09 : 24



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Long direction: EURUSD refreshed its low yesterday and currently deviates from its initial downtrend formation. Next resistance is seen at 1.2807 (R1). Break here is required to enable bullish power with next possible targets at 1.2837 (R2) and 1.2868 (R3). Short direction: Pair has settled negative bias on the hourly timeframe and decline below the support level at 1.2767 (S1) would suggest further downtrend development with possible targets at 1.2740 (S2) and 1.2711 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2807, 1.2837, 1.2868
    Support Levels: 1.2767, 1.2740, 1.2711

    ------------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59908 LOW 1.59709 BID 1.59852 ASK 1.59857 CHANGE 0.04% TIME 08 : 09 : 25



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Long direction: Downside formation remains in power however today we expect to see attack to our resistance levels. Upwards penetration is limited by next resistance level at 1.6009 (R1) today. Surpassing of this level would suggest next targets at 1.6029 (R2) and 1.6048 (R3) in potential. Short direction: Medium term market sentiment remains negative for GBPUSD. If the pair gains momentum on the downside today and overcome our next support level at 1.5970 (S1), we suggest next targets at 1.5951 (S2) and 1.5932 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.6009, 1.6029, 1.6048
    Support Levels: 1.5970, 1.5951, 1.5932

    ----------------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 80.298 LOW 79.962 BID 80.019 ASK 80.022 CHANGE -0.34% TIME 08 : 09 : 26



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Long direction: Market corrected from previous week gains and looks set to establish upwards development on the longer term. Our next resistance is placed at 80.13 (R1). Rise above it might push price towards to next targets at 80.26 (R2) and 80.39 (R3) intradayShort direction: Current market depreciation has determined negative market sentiment for the remaining of the day. Risk of further market depreciation is seen below the next support level at 79.95 (S1). Loss here would suggest intraday targets at 79.83 (S2) and 79.70 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 80.13, 80.26, 80.39
    Support Levels: 79.95, 79.83, 79.70


    FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Global Forex Trading | Forex Trading Charts | Best Forex Trading | FXCC )

  3. #163
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 07 2012

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 07 2012

    Obama re-elected as US President

    Barack Obama's second four year term in the White House is a reality, with semi-official confirmations given just minutes after 4GMT when most media outlets, including NBC, CBS, SKY,AP, Bloomberg, projected Obama's victory in Ohio, a key state for Obama in order to guarantee another second four year mandate. Mel Know, Editor at FXstreet.com, reports: "there were people somewhat surprised of the early confirmation of victory, but Obama has been picking off key swing states one by one. With 73% of the vote in, Ohio is projected to go to the president – no republican has ever won the presidency without winning Ohio. The president has also won in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, leaving Romney required to win all three battleground states of Ohio, Florida and Virginia, where the race is too close to call. But the president has already reached the magical 270 Electoral College mark. Game over."

    The USD was sold-off aggressively as soon as the news of an Obama win came in, with markets pricing in an extended term from the president that has brought the US debt to GDP to uncharted territories by enjoying at the helm of the Fed ultra-dovish Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and his quest for QE to infinity.According to John J Hardy, Head of FX Strategy at Saxo Bank, the Obama victory, "is more risk positive, USD negative as immediate reaction, but any further reaction in this direction could quickly fade as uncertainty over fiscal cliff settles, which would be USD positive and risk negative." - FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/07112012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-07 08:15 GMT Switzerland. Consumer Price Index
    2012-11-07 10:00 GMT European Monetary Union. Retail Sales
    2012-11-07 15:30 GMT United States. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change
    2012-11-07 21:45 GMT New Zealand. Unemployment Rate

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-07 05:34 GMT GBP/USD advances on projected Obama victory
    2012-11-07 04:46 GMT AUD/USD prints fresh 5-week highs above 1.0450
    2012-11-07 04:32 GMT EUR/USD attacking 1.2880; Obama edges closer to victory
    2012-11-07 03:37 GMT USD/JPY slides as election results flow in


    -------------------------
    EURUSD
    HIGH 1.28748 LOW 1.27833 BID 1.28626 ASK 1.28632 CHANGE 0.39% TIME 07: 56 : 59



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Long direction: EURUSD gained momentum on the positive side after the Obama become re-elected US President. Break out of our resistance level at 1.2875 (R1) is required to enable route towards to next suggested targets at 1.2896 (R2) and 1.2917 (R3).Short direction: Possibility of pull back is seen below the support at 1.2842 (S1). Loss here might take the pair towards to eventual targets, located at 1.2821 (S2) and 1.2799 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 1.2875, 1.2896, 1.2917
    Support Levels: 1.2842, 1.2821, 1.2799

    -------------------------
    GBPUSD
    HIGH 1.60363 LOW 1.59682 BID 1.60338 ASK 1.60345 CHANGE 0.23% TIME 07: 57: 00



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Long direction: Intraday market sentiment is clearly Bullish. Protective measures for the upside development is seen at 1.6040 (R1). Break here would suggest next intraday targets at 1.6054 (R2) and 1.6067 (R3). Short direction: Our targets at 1.6005 (S2) and 1.5991 (S3) might be exposed if the downside extension below the support level at 1.6020(S1) occur later on today.

    Resistance Levels: 1.6040, 1.6054, 1.6067
    Support Levels: 1.6020, 1.6005, 1.5991

    -------------------------------
    USDJPY
    HIGH 80.413 LOW 79.811 BID 80.112 ASK 80.116 CHANGE -0.3% TIME 07: 57: 02



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Long direction: Possibility to change market sentiment to positive is seen above the 20 SMA, we placed our next resistance level at 80.21 (R1). Break here is required to turn in focus higher target at 80.31 (R2) and any further increase would then be targeting to 80.40 (R3). Short direction: Technically, further market decline is more likely scenario for today while both moving averages are pointing down. Decrease below the next support level at 79.96 (S1) might enable bearish forces, targeting 79.87 (S2) and 79.78 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 80.21, 80.31, 80.40
    Support Levels: 79.96, 79.87, 79.78

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Automatic forex trading | Learning Forex Trading | ECN Forex Trading Signal | FXCC )

  4. #164
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 08 2012

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 08 2012

    Small chance of a ECB rate cut in November; BoE might introduce additional QE

    Market experts' views on the ECB and the BoE November monetary policy meetings are rather mixed, as recent economic data and the developments in the European debt crisis as well as the implications of the central banks' latest decisions leaves them with options for action this month. Almost all of the analysts contributing to the special forecast report agree that there is a very slight possibility of the ECB carrying out an interest rate cut at the upcoming meeting because, as Ilian Yotov writes, "with the OMT bond buying program plan already in place" the central bank can afford to wait for another month." Only Yohay Elam believes that "there is a good chance that the ECB will cut the rates by 0.25%" in November, in the light of "a small slide in inflation, the worsening economic situation, and fear of another credit crunch."

    As far as the BoE monetary policy meeting is concerned, the experts' projections range from "it should be interesting" to "as usual, a non event." The majority believes that there is a possibility of an extension of the asset purchase program by an additional 50 billion pounds. The upcoming BoE and ECB monetary policy decisions will be announced today at 12:00 and 12:45 GMT, respectively - FXstreet.com

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-08 **:00 GMT : United Kingdom. BoE Monetary Policy Statement
    2012-11-08 12:00 GMT : United Kingdom. BoE Asset Purchase Facility
    2012-11-08 13:30 GMT : European Monetary Union. ECB Monetary policy statement and press conference
    2012-11-08 13:30 GMT : United States. Trade Balance

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-08 05:59 GMT : GBP/USD unchanged ahead of BoE meeting
    2012-11-08 05:13 GMT : EUR/JPY still under bear pressure; risk weighs
    2012-11-08 03:15 GMT : GBP/JPY breaks and holds below 128
    2012-11-08 03:02 GMT : Top-heavy NZD/JPY rests around 65.30

    ------------------------
    EURUSD
    HIGH 1.27802 LOW 1.27428 BID 1.27625 ASK 1.27631 CHANGE -0.07% TIME 08 : 18 : 29



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Long direction: Today in focus ECB Monetary policy statement and press conference at 13:30 GMT. If the market manage to climb above the resistance level at 1.2783 (R1) we expect next target to be achieved at 1.2803 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting to 1.2824 (R3). Short direction: The low, formed yesterday is our reference point for further downtrend formation. Decline below the support level at 1.2736 (S1) might open road towards to lower targets, located at 1.2717 (S2) and 1.2698 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2783, 1.2803, 1.2824
    Support Levels: 1.2736, 1.2717, 1.2698

    ---------------------
    GBPUSD
    HIGH 1.59921 LOW 1.59697 BID 1.59819 ASK 1.59826 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08 : 18 : 30



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Sideway
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Long direction: Important macroeconomic data release might push the market in any direction today as it is not stable. Next announcement in focus 12:00 GMT- BoE Asset Purchase Facility. If the pair manages to penetrate above the resistance level at 1.5994 (R1), we suggest next targets at 1.6009 (R2) and 1.6024 (R3). Short direction: We placed our next support level at 1.5963 (S1). Loss here might enable further bearish pressure and downgrade Cable towards to expected targets at 1.5949 (S2) and 1.5935 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5994, 1.6009, 1.6024
    Support Levels: 1.5963, 1.5949, 1.5935

    ------------------
    USDJPY
    HIGH 80.003 LOW 79.775 BID 79.905 ASK 79.908 CHANGE -0.11% TIME 08 : 18 : 31



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Long direction: USDJPY trades in gradual descending channel on the hourly chart. Climb above the next resistance level at 80.03 (R1) might provide market with sufficient power to attack next target at 80.11(R2) and any further rise would then be limited to 80.20 (R3). Short direction: Today instrument tested negative side and formed fresh low, which is our next support level at 79.77 (S1). Break here is required to enable next targets at 79.68 (S2) and 79.60 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 80.03, 80.11, 80.20
    Support Levels: 79.77, 79.68, 79.60

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Forex Trading For Beginners | Automated Forex Trading Systems | Forex Automated Trading )

  5. #165
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 09 2012

    Daily Forex Market Analysis from FXCC Nov 09 2012

    ECB's Draghi: Growth momentum to remain weak in 2013

    As expected, the ECB Governing Council decided to keep the main interest rate unchanged at a record low of 0.75% at their November monetary policy meeting. Speaking at the press conference following the meeting ECB head Mario Draghi commented on the considerations underlying the decision. The president suggested that inflation should stay above 2% throughout the rest of 2012 and fall below 2% in the course of of 2013, adding that “over the policy-relevant horizon, in an environment of modest growth in the euro area and well-anchored long-term inflation expectations, underlying price pressures should remain moderate.”

    Mario Draghi said that growth momentum in the Eurozone would remain weak in 2013. He assured however that ECB's monetary policy was directed at stimulating growth in the area and that its readiness to activate the OMT program was boosting market confidence. He urged EU governments to continue reducing fiscal imbalances and applying structural reforms to strengthen growth potential in the area. He said that positive effects of the fiscal consolidation efforts so far could already be seen and that a quick implementation of the fiscal compact would further reassure markets - FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/09112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-09 07:00 GMT : Germany. Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices
    2012-11-09 09:30 GMT : United Kingdom. Total Trade Balance
    2012-11-09 14:55 GMT : United States. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
    2012-11-09 15:00 GMT : United States. Wholesale Inventories

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-09 05:52 GMT : EUR/USD needs break of key fibo to resume bear's party
    2012-11-09 05:27 GMT : GBP/USD finding buyers above 1.6000
    2012-11-09 04:56 GMT : EUR/NZD stalling around 38.2% Fibo retrace at 1.5650
    2012-11-09 03:50 GMT : AUD/CAD near 3-month highs above 1.04

    --------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.279 LOW 1.27334 BID 1.27758 ASK 1.27762 CHANGE 0.23% TIME 08:18:01



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Long direction: We are not expecting significant moves today however current market installation might extend its power towards to our resistance levels later on today. Our next resistance level holds at 1.2803 (R1). A break here might expose next targets 1.2828 (R2) and 1.2852 (R3). Short direction: If it fails to establish intraday positive bias we expect retest of our next support level at 1.2761 (S1). Price penetration below it might open way towards to next targets at 1.2735 (S2) and 1.2708 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2803, 1.2828, 1.2852
    Support Levels: 1.2761, 1.2735, 1.2708

    --------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.60192 LOW 1.59692 BID 1.60073 ASK 1.60079 CHANGE 0.16% TIME 08:18:02



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Long direction: Technically, instrument moves without priority in direction on the hourly chart. In such situation we suggest waiting for a clear signal of market sentiment change. Possible strengthening might arise above the next resistance level at 1.6020 (R1). Next targets holds at 1.6035 (R2) and 1.6048 (R3) levels. Short direction: A break of next support level at 1.5983 (S1) might extend easing towards to expected targets at 1.5969 (S2) and 1.5955 (S3) levels.

    Resistance Levels: 1.6020, 1.6034, 1.6048
    Support Levels: 1.5983, 1.5969, 1.5955

    ------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 79.61 LOW 79.424 BID 79.560 ASK 79.563 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08:18:03



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

    Long direction: Instrument stabilized after the fresh low provided yesterday. If it manages to stay above it we expect retracement development towards to resistance level at 79.62 (R1). Clearance here would suggest next targets at 79.71 (R2) and 79.82 (R3). Short direction: Decrease below the support level at 79.45 (S1) might open route towards to next targets at 79.35 (S2) and 79.25 (S3) and extends its bearish pressure on the medium term perspective.

    Resistance Levels: 79.62, 79.71, 79.82
    Support Levels: 79.45, 79.35, 79.25

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd, (ECN Forex Broker | ECN Forex Trading Platform | Foreign Currency Exchange | Best Currency Online Trading | FXCC)

  6. #166
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 12 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 12 2012

    Greece passes 2013 budget bill

    After holding a vote on its 2013 national budget, the Greek government has passed the bill, one that includes additional cuts touching the most controversial areas of pensions, salaries and benefits. The reaction by the markets has been very subdued, with Euro ticking marginally higher. At present, worries are far greater on the prospects of Greece facing a default scenario this week, something that renowned papers like the Financial Times highlight on its front-cover. Greece should find a way to raise as much as €5bn in order to avoid default in a coupon of debt maturity, with the Troika and European paymasters, including Germany, still stuck in an impasse as to how to ease the country's debt burden, and with authorities still in disagreement over providing Greece the next aid tranche worth over €31.5 billion.

    For the short term, the Financial Times reports in a weekend article that "the country’s debt management office has announced plans to cover the full amount through a treasury bill auction on Tuesday, but Greek banks expected to buy the issue can only raise about €3.5bn of collateral acceptable to the ECB, according to two senior Athens bankers" the paper reports. It is thought that in case of a shortfall in the capital raised, Greece will have to tap funds from a reserve for bank recapitalisation held by the Hellenic Financial Stability Fund, worth over €3 billion, as option of last resort-FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/12112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-12 **:** GMT : European Monetary Union. Eurogrup meeting
    2012-11-12 06:00 GMT : Japan. Machine Tool Orders
    2012-11-12 21:45 GMT : New Zealand. Food Price Index


    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-12 05:15 GMT : GBP/USD stands at 1.59, above 200 DMA
    2012-11-12 05:15 GMT : EUR/GBP waiting for Eurogroup Meeting, flat at 0.8 round
    2012-11-12 04:12 GMT : USD/JPY may test 79.70-80.00 - BBH



    ----------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.27365 LOW 1.27095 BID 1.27289 ASK 1.27294 CHANGE 0.15% TIME 08 : 19 : 31



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Long direction: Fresh cross of moving averages might be a signal of possible correction ahead. Next resistance level is in focus at 1.2740 (R1). Rise above it would then be targeting to 1.2769 (R2) and 1.2797 (R3) in perspective. Short direction: Though, EURUSD might spend most of the day in a narrow range amid limited tier-one data flow. Our downside targets at 1.2679 (S2) and 1.2648 (S3) might expose if the downside extension below the support level at 1.2708 (S1) occur later on today

    Resistance Levels: 1.2740, 1.2769, 1.2797
    Support Levels: 1.2708, 1.2679, 1.2648

    ------------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59124 LOW 1.5891 BID 1.59099 ASK 1.59102 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08 :19 : 32



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

    Long direction: The low from 08-11-2012 at 1.5928 (S1) is acting now as key resistance level for upside formation. If the price manages to break it, we expect retracement development with next targets in focus 1.5955 (R2) and 1.5982 (R3). Short direction: Risks of further depreciation is seen below the support at 1.5886 (S1). Break through here might take the pair towards to eventual targets located at 1.5861 (S2) and 1.5836 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 1.5928, 1.5955, 1.5982
    Support Levels: 1.5886, 1.5861, 1.5836

    -------------------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 79.563 LOW 79.401 BID 79.480 ASK 79.483 CHANGE 0.02% TIME 08 :19 : 33



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

    Long direction: Instrument trades in narrow range on the short term perspective. Clearance of next resistance level 79.57 (R1) might determine positive bias for the day and suggest next targets at 79.68 (R2) and 79.79 (R3). Short direction: On the longer term, tendency on USDJPY remains negative and current stabilization might be considered as a part of correction. If the market manage to break next support level at 79.35 (S1), we expect exposure of targets at 79.25 (S2) and 79.15 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 79.57, 79.68, 79.79
    Support Levels: 79.35, 79.25, 79.15

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Best Forex Trading Software | ECN Forex News Trading | Forex Options Trading | FXCC )

  7. #167
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 13 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 13 2012

    U.S. ‘Fiscal Cliff’ likely to rock USD – Goldman Sachs

    Looking ahead to December 31, 2012 and January 1, 2013, Goldman Sachs’ Global FX Monthy Analyst, says the upcoming U.S. ‘fiscal cliff’ episode has noteworthy potential to boost USD initially, followed by a sharp USD sell-off. Goldman Sachs explains: “The logic of this price action closely follows the pattern of markets temporarily losing confidence in the ability of polarised policymakers to compromise. During this period it may look as if the ‘fiscal cliff’ is becoming reality and that the economy could face a negative fiscal shock of up to 5% of GDP. The temporary negative response in cyclical assets would likely also trigger a broader USD rally.” Goldman Sachs continues: “After that, when policymakers do find a compromise, possibly helped by the market concerns reflected in cyclical asset weakness, risk sentiment could improve rapidly and the USD would weaken again.”

    Busy day ahead for the London session A bunch of data releases will keep traders glued to the wires today. The show starts with French jobs data and current account at 07:45 GMT, followed 15 minutes later by Spanish CPI, Italian CPI at 09:00 GMT, and the highly followed German ZEW at 10:00 GMT, while the ECOFIN meeting, held in Brussels, will take place all day long. Bank of Portugal will also release its Autumn economic bulletin, with CPI figures for Portugal at 10:00 GMT. At 14:30 GMT Greek FinMin Stournaras will speak to EU lawmakers, while EU managing director of the Institute of International Finance Dallara will hold talks with senior government officials and private sector leaders regarding Greece and the Euro Area. In the sovereign debt auctions front, Italy will deliver 12 month bills, with 10 year bond yields standing barely above 5.03%, steady around the 5% figure for last 2 months, while Greece will try to sell 13-weeks T-Bill, as mentioned above.


    2012-11-13 **:** GMT : United Kingdom. BOE Inflation Letter
    2012-11-13 09:30 GMT : United Kingdom. Consumer Price Index
    2012-11-13 10:00 GMT : Germany. ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment
    2012-11-13 19:00 GMT : United States. Monthly Budget Statement


    2012-11-13 05:52 GMT : GBP/USD weakens ahead of UK CPI
    2012-11-13 05:02 GMT : GBP/JPY cracks 126.00 to multi-week lows
    2012-11-13 04:05 GMT : AUD/NZD prints inside day pin at 200 EMA
    2012-11-13 03:08 GMT : USD/JPY pressured as risk wanes

    ----------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.27098 LOW 1.26731 BID 1.26854 ASK 1.26859 CHANGE -0.18% TIME 08 : 31: 38



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Down trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: We expect busy session ahead. Yesterday low is acting now as key resistance level at 1.2698 (R1). Appreciation above it might enable next targets at 1.2722 (R2) and 1.2746 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Medium term bias remains negative as both moving averages are pointing down. We expect retest of our support at 1.2672 (S1). Easing below it would suggest next targets at 1.2648 (S2) and 1.2624 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 1.2698, 1.2722, 1.2746
    Support Levels: 1.2672, 1.2648, 1.2624

    ----------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.58776 LOW 1.58577 BID 1.58683 ASK 1.58691 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08 : 31: 39



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Down trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the negative side, though we expect formation of retracement ahead. Progress above the resistance level at 1.5888 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.5911 (R2) and 1.5933 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Immediate focus comes on our next support level at 1.5856 (S1). Price penetration below it might open way towards to next targets at 1.5834 (S2) and 1.5811(S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5888, 1.5911, 1.5933
    Support Levels: 1.5856, 1.5834, 1.5811

    ----------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 79.641 LOW 79.226 BID 79.292 ASK 79.293 CHANGE -0.25% TIME 08:31:40



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Upwards scenario: Neutral hourly studies point towards further consolidation, with a break required to spark stronger upside action. Our next resistance level is placed at 79.36 (R1). Break above it might open initial targets at 79.44 (R2) and 79.54 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Fresh low offers initial support level at 79.22 (S1), possible pushdown of the price below it would suggest next targets at 79.13 (S2) and 79.05 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 79.36, 79.44, 79.54
    Support Levels: 79.22, 79.13, 79.05

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( forex trading brokers | automated forex trading system | forex trading for dummies | FXCC )

  8. #168
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 14 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 14 2012

    Bild story on bundled aid payment for Greece boosts sentiment.

    German newspaper Bild Zeitung published an article in which it claims that the Berlin is preparing a 44 billion euro aid payment for Greece, combined from three pending bailout tranches. When asked about the report, German Finance Minister's spokeswoman said that no decision has been taken on the Greek bailout. “Color me skeptical”, writes Mark Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy for BBH. “To give Greece such a large sum at once is counter to the underlying strategy of doling out the aid in tranches to provide assurances of compliance. This is tantamount to unilateral disarmament by the creditors. Second, three euro area members require parliamentary approval, Germany, Finland and the Netherlands. It it unlikely to receive support.” The Bild report boosted sentiment and the Euro rebounded off a two-month low against the greenback.

    The Greek Public Debt Management Agency held a bond auction on Tuesday in order to roll over 5 billion euros of debt maturing on November 16. It sold 4.062 billion euros worth of 1-month and 3-month T-bills and the total amount should reach 5 billion if all non-competitive bids are included. 1-month T-bills were sold at an average yield of 3.95%, while 3-month T-bills yielded 4.2%, compared to 4.24% seen in October. The auction was given the green light by the ECB which had to raise the ceiling on the amount of T-bills so that Athens would be able to continue refinancing short-term debt -FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/14112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-14 09:30 GMT : United Kingdom. ILO Unemployment Rate
    2012-11-14 10:30 GMT : United Kingdom. BoE's Governor King Speech
    2012-11-14 13:30 GMT : United States. Retail Sales
    2012-11-14 19:00 GMT : United States. FOMC Minutes

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-14 04:03 GMT : Outlook bullish on EUR/USD – Goldman Sachs
    2012-11-14 03:19 GMT : AUD/NZD limited below 1.2800, 61.8% Fibo
    2012-11-14 02:31 GMT : GBP/JPY back above 126.00; Regional bourses support
    2012-11-14 01:08 GMT : AUD/JPY capped below 1H 200 SMA


    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.27287 LOW 1.27001 BID 1.27216 ASK 1.27219 CHANGE 0.14% TIME 08 : 03 : 01



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Pair has settled negative bias on the hourly timeframe but recently moved in sideways mode. Above the fresh high at 1.2730 (R1) is possible retracement development. Violation here might expose next targets at 1.2746 (R2) and 1.2763 (R3). Downwards scenario: Loss of next support at 1.2703 (S1) might drive market price towards to the next targets at 1.2684 (S2) and 1.2666 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2730, 1.2746, 1.2763
    Support Levels: 1.2703, 1.2684, 1.2666

    -------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.58923 LOW 1.58663 BID 1.58917 ASK 1.58920 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 08 : 03 : 02



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: GBPUSD trades in positive tone on the short term perspective. Successful penetration above the resistance at 1.5900 (R1) might provide sufficient space for the price increase towards to our targets at 1.5915 (R2) and 1.5931 (R3). Downwards scenario: Medium term bias remains negative on the hourly chart. If the pair extend its bearish pressure below the next support level at 1.5866 (S1), we suggest next targets at 1.5849 (S2) and 1.5830 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5900, 1.5915, 1.5931
    Support Levels: 1.5866, 1.5849, 1.5830

    ------------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 79.573 LOW 79.385 BID 79.565 ASK 79.566 CHANGE 0.23% TIME 08 : 03 : 02



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: USDJPY gained momentum on the positive side today and determined positive bias for the remaining day. We expect some consolidation ahead, though If the market manages to climb above the resistance level at 79.83 (R1) we suggest next targets at 79.92 (R2) and 80.02 (R3) in potential.Downwards scenario: Yesterday high is acting now as key support level at 79.64 (S1), clearance here is required to attack lower targets at 79.53 (S2) and 79.43 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 79.83, 79.92, 80.02
    Support Levels: 79.64, 79.53, 79.43


    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( forex trading news | forex trading secrets | forex trading tools | FXCC )

  9. #169
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 15 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 15 2012

    EU's Rehn: Spain has taken effective action on budget deficits in 2012 and 2013

    EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn made a statement on Spain on Wednesday, regarding the country's deficit moves. According to the European Commission's assessment the Spanish government has taken effective action for 2012, 2013 as far as restoring sustainability of public finances is concerned. Nevertheless, it would fail to meet the deficit target for 2014.

    Mr Rehn declared that Spain currently does not need additional measures and that the progress of its budget consolidation will be evaluated once again by the EU in February, by which time it might be necessary to introduce further measures. He added that he does not see the need for Rajoy's government making a bailout request in the nearest future. The EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner also acknowledged that Spain is currently undergoing difficult rebalancing of the economy and that its government and people are making great efforts to assure sustainability of the country’s finances.
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/15112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-15 09:00 GMT : Italy. Gross Domestic Product(Preliminar)
    2012-11-15 09:30 GMT : United Kingdom. Retail Sales
    2012-11-15 10:00 GMT : E.M.U. Gross Domestic Product (Preliminar)
    2012-11-15 13:30 GMT : United States. Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-15 04:15 GMT : AUD/USD stalls the dive helped by 1.0350 bids
    2012-11-15 04:03 GMT : Short AUD/CAD; target the 1.01 area - Westpac
    2012-11-15 03:36 GMT : GBP/AUD offered below 50% Fibo
    2012-11-15 00:51 GMT : EUR/USD: Hourly pin forms off 200 EMA; bears encouraged


    ------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.2753 LOW 1.27174 BID 1.27473 ASK 1.27476 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08:03:46



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Current market installation might suggest us about the uptrend formation on the hourly timeframe. Break of 1.2758 (R1) is required for attack to the next target at 1.2772 (R2). Final resistance could be found at 1.2787 (R3) today. Downwards scenario: Risk of further market depreciation is seen below the next support level at 1.2730 (S1). Loss here would suggest intraday targets at 1.2715 (S2) and 1.2700 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2758, 1.2772, 1.2787
    Support Levels: 1.2730, 1.2715, 1.2700

    -----------------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.58552 LOW 1.58361 BID 1.58519 ASK 1.58523 CHANGE 0.07% TIME 08:03:47



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Upwards scenario: Our next resistance level locates at 1.5859 (R1). If market gains momentum and manage to overcome it, we expect further deviation from the initial downtrend towards to next targets at 1.5877 (R2) and 1.5894 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of market weakening is seen below the fresh low at 1.5834 (S1). Loss here would enable bearish forces and might expose our targets at 1.5815 (S2) and 1.5796 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5859, 1.5877, 1.5894
    Support Levels: 1.5834, 1.5815, 1.5796

    --------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 80.943 LOW 80.125 BID 80.931 ASK 80.933 CHANGE 0.85% TIME 08:03:48



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Upwards scenario: USDJPY appreciated by 0.85% today and determined clear bullish market sentiment. Our key resistance level locates at fresh high – 80.96 (R1), clearance here would suggest higher targets at 81.10 (R2) and 81.25 (R3) intraday. Downwards scenario: Risk of correction is seen below the next support level at 80.61 (S1), break here is required to enable lower targets at 80.47 (S2) and 80.32 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 80.96, 81.10, 81.25
    Support Levels: 80.61, 80.47, 80.32

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Forex Account | Forex Managed Account | Managed Forex Account | FXCC )

  10. #170
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 16 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 16 2012

    Eurozone officially in recession

    Third quarter GDP data for the Eurozone published yesterday revealed that the area has once again slipped into recession. According to Eurostat Q3 GDP was down by 0.1%, which is the second consecutive quarterly decline. Only the German and French economies expanded, both by 0.2%. Martin van Vliet from ING comments: “GDP figures clearly demonstrate that the Eurozone economy as a whole is in desperate need of macroeconomic stimulus. With policymakers seemingly reluctant to engineer a coordinated pull-back from fiscal austerity, more monetary stimulus and a weaker currency is likely to be needed to put Eurozone back on a path of sustained growth.”

    ECB Governing Council member Luc Coene declared in the European morning that Spain should urgently seek EU aid. European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs Olli Rehn, who spoke later in the day, assured that the solution to the Greek problem requires a combination of measures, providing the principal amount of its debt does not change.-FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/16112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-16 10:00 GMT : E. M. U. Trade Balance
    2012-11-16 14:00 GMT : United States. Net Long-Term TIC Flows
    2012-11-16 14:15 GMT : United States. Industrial Production
    2012-11-16 20:45 GMT : United States. Fed's Lockhart speech

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-16 04:31 GMT : GBP/AUD flat around 1.5350; with bullish scope?
    2012-11-16 04:28 GMT : AUD/CAD looking more bearish if below 1.0290
    2012-11-16 04:06 GMT : USD/JPY consolidation likely next week - Nomura
    2012-11-16 01:31 GMT : EUR/USD bears cap rebound at 1.28


    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.27845 LOW 1.27645 BID 1.27681 ASK 1.27688 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 08:03:35



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: We expect resuming of the uptrend formation if the price manages to overcome next resistance level at 1.2786 (R1). Immediate focus comes on 1.2800 (R1) and 1.2814 (r3) in such scenario. Downwards scenario: Price decline below the next support levels at 1.2759 (S1) might trigger bearish pressure and enable next target at 1.2745 (S2). Further correction development might face final support level at 1.2732 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2786, 1.2800, 1.2814
    Support Levels: 1.2759, 1.2745, 1.2732

    -----------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.58665 LOW 1.58569 BID 1.58597 ASK 1.58604 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08:03:36



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: A medium-term bias is negative now though intraday bullish forces might be activated if the pair penetrates above the resistance level at 1.5868 (R1). Next immediate resistance levels holds at 1.5884 (R2) and 1.5899 (R3). Downwards scenario: Downside direction is limited by next support level at 1.5841 (S1), price decrease below it would be targeting next supports at 1.5826 (S2) and 1.5810 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5868, 1.5884, 1.5899
    Support Levels: 1.5841, 1.5826, 1.5810

    ------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 81.268 LOW 80.973 BID 81.010 ASK 81.013 CHANGE -0.19% TIME 08:03:38



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: While instrument trades below the resistance level at 81.28 (R1), market would try to form correction. Break above it is required to attack the upside target at 81.50 (R2) and 81.70 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: If price would manage to overcome our support at 80.92 (S1) we suggest next targets at 80.70 (S2) and 80.46 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 81.28, 81.50, 81.70
    Support Levels: 80.92, 80.70, 80.46

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd, (ECN Forex Broker | ECN Forex Trading Platform | Foreign Currency Exchange | Best Currency Online Trading | FXCC)

  11. #171
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 19 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 19 2012

    ECB's Asmussen calls for a 2-year funding extension on Greece

    FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Joerg Asmussen, member of the European Central Bank, told German broadcaster ZDF over the weekend, EU leaders should agree on a 2-year loan extension for Greece, with any additional funding plan to be decided at a later stage, confirming the broadly-held view within the EU of 'kicking the can down the road', a position not marrying too well with IMF Director Christine Lagarde, who has been repeatedly calling for a long-standing comprehensible plan.

    For today, EUR related economic agenda for the London session ahead looks soft, with only Italian industrial production at 09:00 GMT. However, several conferences in the EU will take place in parallel, ahead of tomorrow's key Eurogroup meetings. The special attention will be headlines from EU Commissioner Barnier and Spain EcoMin De Guindos, speaking at the EU conference on financial stability and the single market at 08:30 GMT. Also Deutsche Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann speech in Frankfurt at the same time will attract market's attention. In the EZ sovereign debt auctions front, France will deliver Treasury bills at 12:45 GMT, with 10 year bond yields stable around the 2% figure, last at 2.08%.
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/19112012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-19 **:00 GMT Japan. BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
    2012-11-19 10:00 GMT European Monetary Union. Construction Output
    2012-11-19 15:00 GMT United States. Existing Home Sales Change
    2012-11-19 23:00 GMT Australia. Conference Board Australia Leading Index

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-19 06:08 GMT EUR/USD advance above 1.28 should command respect
    2012-11-19 06:02 GMT GBP/USD rises above 1.59 on positive tone
    2012-11-19 04:43 GMT AUD/EUR seen at +0.84 in early 2013 - Westpac
    2012-11-19 04:07 GMT EUR/AUD looking for bids around 1.23 mark


    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.27734 LOW 1.27401 BID 1.27582 ASK 1.27588 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 07:59:51



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Instrument show up 0.13% rise today and any further appreciation needs to clear barrier at 1.2774 (R1). Intraday targets could be found at 1.2786 (R2) and then at 1.2798 (R3). Downwards scenario: Below the 10 SMA locates our next support level at 1.2751 (S1). Break here might open a route towards to next targets at 1.2739 (S2) and 1.2727 (S3) in perspective.

    Resistance Levels: 1.2774, 1.2786, 1.2798
    Support Levels: 1.2751, 1.2739, 1.2727

    ---------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59233 LOW 1.58806 BID 1.59109 ASK 1.59116 CHANGE 0.17% TIME 07:59:52



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

    Upwards scenario: market sentiment is clearly bullish today. Fresh high formed today acts now as next resistance level at 1.5924 (R1). Above here open way towards to next targets at 1.5936 (R2) and then at 1.5947 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of depreciation is seen below the local high, formed on the 14-11-2012 at 1.5902 (S1). Break here is required to enable lower targets at 1.5890 (S2) and 1.5877 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5924, 1.5936, 1.5947
    Support Levels: 1.5902, 1.5890, 1.5877

    ----------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 81.587 LOW 81.125 BID 81.243 ASK 81.247 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 07:59:53



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION Up : trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Upwards scenario: Medium term bias is positive for USDJPY. Risk of market appreciation is seen above the next resistance level at 81.41 (R1). Loss here would suggest next target at 81.62 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 81.82 (R3). Downwards scenario: If the pair gains momentum on the downside and manage to break our next support level at 81.10 (S1), it is likely to get acceleration towards to our next support level at 80.90 (S2) and 80.68 (S3), exactly where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level lies.

    Resistance Levels: 81.41, 81.62, 81.82
    Support Levels: 81.10, 80.90, 80.68

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Practice Account | ECN Broker | ECN Forex | FXCC )

  12. #172
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 20 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 20 2012

    Moody's downgrades France to Aa1 from Aaa

    FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Moody's has downgraded France's government bond rating to Aa1 from Aaa, maintains negative outlook. Moody's decision to downgrade France and maintain the negative outlook reflects the following:

    From Moody's: 1.) France's long-term economic growth outlook is negatively affected by multiple structural challenges, including its gradual, sustained loss of competitiveness and the long-standing rigidities of its labour, goods and service markets. 2.) France's fiscal outlook is uncertain as a result of its deteriorating economic prospects, both in the short term due to subdued domestic and external demand, and in the longer term due to the structural rigidities noted above. 3.) The predictability of France's resilience to future euro area shocks is diminishing in view of the rising risks to economic growth, fiscal performance and cost of funding. France's exposure to peripheral Europe through its trade linkages and its banking system is disproportionately large, and its contingent obligations to support other euro area members have been increasing. Moreover, unlike other non-euro area sovereigns that carry similarly high ratings, France does not have access to a national central bank for the financing of its debt in the event of a market disruption.
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/20112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2011-08-10 **:00 GMT : European Monetary Union. EcoFin Meeting
    2011-08-10 07:00 GMT : Germany. Producer Price Index
    2012-11-20 13:30 GMT : United States. Housing Starts
    2012-11-20 17:15 GMT : United States. Fed's Bernanke Speech

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-20 06:07 GMT : GBP/USD bulls have room to run; resistance at 1.6065 - V.Bednarik
    2012-11-20 05:52 GMT : EUR/USD holds 1.28; Greece aid hopes outweigh France downgrade
    2012-11-20 05:27 GMT : AUD/USD long term bearish – Forex.com
    2012-11-20 05:02 GMT : NZD/USD limited below key Fibo around 0.82

    ---------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.28142 LOW 1.27649 BID 1.27885 ASK 1.27891 CHANGE -0.19% TIME 08 : 11 : 04



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: On the bigger picture trend still is pointing up. Targets at 1.2824 (R2) and 1.2837 (R3) might be attractive for the uptrend penetration if the price manage to break our next resistance level at 1.2811 (R1). Downwards scenario: Clearance of next support level at 1.2785 (S1) might lead to the retracement formation with next expected targets at 1.2772 (S2) and 1.2760 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 1.2811, 1.2824, 1.2837
    Support Levels: 1.2785, 1.2772, 1.2760

    ----------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59195 LOW 1.58914 BID 1.59130 ASK 1.59135 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08 : 11 : 05



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Market moves in consolidation mode after the uptrend formation and we expect retest of previous day high later on today. Clearance of next resistance level at 1.5924 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.5936 (R2) and 1.5947 (R3). Downwards scenario: While next support is placed at 1.5907 (S1), decline below it would put in focus next target at 1.5894 (S2) and any further depreciation would then be limited to 1.5882 (S3) intraday.

    Resistance Levels: 1.5924, 1.5936, 1.5947
    Support Levels: 1.5907, 1.5894, 1.5882

    -----------------------------
    USDJPY
    HIGH 81.432 LOW 81.142 BID 81.309 ASK 81.313 CHANGE -0.12% TIME 08 : 11 : 06



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Instrument stabilized and trades in a narrow channel without priority in direction. Fresh peak is acting now as resistance level at 81.43 (R1), penetration above it would suggest next targets at 81.59 (R2) and 81.76 (R3) on the upside. Downwards scenario: We suggest waiting for a clear break out of important levels prior taking any positions. If USDJPY manage to break our support level at 81.12 (S1), we expect next targets at 80.94 (S2) and 80.75 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 81.43, 81.59, 81.76
    Support Levels: 81.12, 80.94, 80.75

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Brokers | ECN Forex Brokers | ECN Trading | FXCC )

  13. #173
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 21 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 21 2012

    EU Finance Ministers fail to agree on Greece; Talks to resume on Monday

    The European finance ministers failed to reach any conclusive decision on Greece after a 10+ hours meeting in Brussels, which came to a conclusion well into the night at around 4am. Details will not be released and the press conference was canceled. Luke Baker, Reuters bureau chief in Brussels, notes: "After more than 10 hours of meeting, German Finance Minister Schaeuble said euro zone finance ministers couldn't reach an agreement on Greece. Euro Finance Chiefs will continue talks on Monday..."

    Earlier on the Asian session, Reuters was out reporting on a Eurogroup document laying out details on Greek debt, which is seen at debt to GDP of 144% in 2020, 133% in 2022, 111% in 2030, noted Mr. Baker. Current Greek debt level stands at 170% of GDP. Bloomberg reported that target of reaching debt sustainability may be postponed to 2022. One of the measures under discussion is suspending for 10 years interest payments on loans provided to Greece by the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), Reuters reported citing an unnamed official. It is thought that even combined elements "would still fail to reduce the overall debt-to-GDP ratio to 120% by 2020, the level the IMF has deemed as 'sustainable' " Bloomberg notes. Speculation is that IMF may remove itself from any Greek bailout programs if the 120% threshold can not be reached.-Fxstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/21112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-21 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Bank of England Minutes
    2012-11-21 13:30 GMT | United States. Initial Jobless Claims
    2012-11-21 14:55 GMT | United States. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
    2012-11-21 15:00 GMT | United States. Leading Indicator

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-21 05:46 GMT | GBP/USD peels back to 1.59 ahead of BoE Minutes
    2012-11-21 05:32 GMT | EUR/GBP; 1-month already dealing around the 0.80 figure
    2012-11-21 05:08 GMT | EUR/AUD turns lower toward 1.2300
    2012-11-21 04:18 GMT | AUD/USD sinks on Eurogroup dissapointment


    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.2822 LOW 1.27364 BID 1.27527 ASK 1.27533 CHANGE -0.5% TIME 08 : 01 : 43



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: EURUSD formed retracement formation today, turning intraday bias to the negative side. Our next resistance level for today is hold at 1.2774 (R1). Rise above it might open route towards to next targets at 1.2788 (R2) and 1.2803 (R3). Downwards scenario: A break below the fresh low at 1.2736 (S1) would allow bears remaining in play on the medium-term perspective. Next targets could be found at 1.2720 (S2) and 1.2705 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2774, 1.2788, 1.2803
    Support Levels: 1.2736, 1.2720, 1.2705

    ----------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59285 LOW 1.58998 BID 1.59046 ASK 1.59051 CHANGE -0.12% TIME 08 : 01 : 44



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: A move above the resistance level at 1.5912 (R1) might drive market price towards to next target at 1.5921 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to resistance at 1.5930 (R3). Downwards scenario: Hourly chart correction remains in power today. Next barrier locates at 1.5894 (S1). Loss here might enable further bearish pressure and downgrade Cable towards to expected targets at 1.5886 (S2) and 1.5877 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5912, 1.5921, 1.5930
    Support Levels: 1.5894, 1.5886, 1.5877

    -----------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 81.974 LOW 81.654 BID 81.913 ASK 81.917 CHANGE 0.29% TIME 08 : 01 : 46



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: USDJPY gained momentum on the positive side and formed fresh high today, which is our key point for further market gains. Strengthening above the resistance at 81.97 (R1) would enable expected targets at 82.14 (R2) and 82.29 (R3). Downwards scenario: Retracement development is limited to the next support level at 81.70 (S1). Clearance here would open road towards to possible targets, located at 81.53 (S2) and 81.35 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 81.97, 82.14, 82.29
    Support Levels: 81.70, 81.53, 81.35

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Platform | Forex Broker Reviews | Online Forex Broker | FXCC )

  14. #174
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 22 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 22 2012

    Market pricing Greece deal by Monday

    Judging by the reaction of the market after EU authorities failed to reach a deal on Greece, hopes that by Monday leaders will resolve the technicalities and find a way to unblock the next disbursement of bailout money to Greece, continue to run high, and so does the Euro. There are varies option on the table, with the WSJ citing the three most likely, which include a debt buybacks program, loan interest cuts to 0.25%, which may potentially save the country over 44 billion euros, and a return of SMP profits. The German leader Angela Merkel advocated after the last EcoFin meeting that they could beef up the EFSF funds by 10 billion euros to support an activation of a Greece buy back program. Meanwhile, EU leaders are scheduled to have talks today about budget talks, with the market focusing on the area's spending plan. Headline over this meeting will hardly move the Euro.

    Eurozone finance ministers are discussing options to bring down Greece's debt to 120% of GDP in 2020. One of the measures under discussion is suspending for 10 years interest payments on loans provided to Greece by the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), Reuters reported citing an unnamed official. Another measure could be to buy back Greek debt held by private financial institutions, offering 30% of its value, while a third step would be to cut the interest on €53 billion of bilateral loans to Greece, to 25 basis points from the current 150 basis points.
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/22112012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-22 08:28 GMT | Germany. Markit Services PMI
    2012-11-22 08:58 GMT | European Monetary Union. Markit Services PMI
    2012-11-22 13:30 GMT | Canada. Retail Sales
    2012-11-22 15:00 GMT | European Monetary Union. Consumer Confidence

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-22 05:44 GMT | EUR/USD below 1.16 in 2013 favored – JPM
    2012-11-22 04:07 GMT | GBP/JPY moving in tight ranges below 132
    2012-11-22 03:03 GMT | AUD is 5% overvalued – JPM
    2012-11-22 01:28 GMT | AUD/CAD risks to the downside if below 1.0300 – TD Securities

    -----------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.28682 LOW 1.28261 BID 1.28466 ASK 1.28472 CHANGE 0.14% TIME 08:17:21



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: EURUSD tested positive side today and gains 0.14 %. Local high, formed today acts now as next barrier for further price appreciation. Clearance of 1.2868 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.2885 (R2) and 1.2902 (R3). Downwards scenario: Important support level locates right at 1.2831 (S1). Successful retest here would open route towards to next target at 1.2814 (S2) and any further decline would then be limited to final support for today at 1.2796 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2868, 1.2885, 1.2902
    Support Levels: 1.2831, 1.2814, 1.2796

    ----------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59698 LOW 1.59509 BID 1.59599 ASK 1.59606 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08:17:22



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: GBPUSD accomplished new step of uptrend formation. Risk of further market increase is seen above the resistance at 1.5970 (R1). Violation here might increase bullish pressure and expose next targets at 1.5981 (R2) and 1.5992 (R3). Downwards scenario: Price depreciation below the support at 1.5949 (S1) level might likely push the pair toward the second target at 1.5939 (S2) and any further market decline would then be limited to support at 1.5928 (S3) price.

    Resistance Levels: 1.5970, 1.5981, 1.5992
    Support Levels: 1.5949, 1.5939, 1.5928

    -----------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.591 LOW 82.366 BID 82.470 ASK 82.474 CHANGE -0.07% TIME 08:17:24



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: If we take a look on the hourly chart we can see that medium-term bias is clearly positive. We expect further appreciation if the price manages to overcome 82.61 (R1). Next targets could be found at 82.80 (R2) and 82.99 (R3). Downwards scenario: A failure to clear next resistance barrier would open the way towards the initial support level at 82.26 (S1) price. Loss here might take the pair towards to eventual targets, located at 82.07 (S2) and 81.87 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 82.61, 82.80, 82.99
    Support Levels: 82.26, 82.07, 81.87

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Forex Trading| Forex Rates | Forex Market | FXCC )

  15. #175
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 23 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 23 2012

    Greece edges towards a debt deal; IMF lowers demands

    Greece may soon breathe a sigh of relief, as a deal with the Troika looks closer, according to Greek-based paper ekathimeini, citing Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras who suggests only 10 billion euros stand in the way of a deal.From ekathimeini: "Sources said that another 8 to 10 billion euros was needed to meet the target." the Greek paper also reports that "the IMF has accepted that Greek debt will not meet its target of 120 percent of GDP in 2020 and is willing for this to change to 124 percent in the same year."

    German Chancellor Angela Merckel said after the meeting she doubts an agreement will be reached on EU budget this week, and will likely need another few sessions of negotiations. She added positions are too far apart for now. Meanwhile, according to an official statement by the European Council, Yves Mersch has been appointed to the executive board of the European Central Bank for a term of eight years as from 15 December. He will succeed José Manuel González-Páramo, who completed his term of office on 31 May.
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/23112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-23 **:00 GMT | European Monetary Union. European Council meeting
    2012-11-23 07:00 GMT | Germany. Gross Domestic Product
    2012-11-23 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. BBA Mortgage Approvals
    2012-11-23 13:30 GMT | Canada. Consumer Price Index

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-23 05:50 GMT | GBP/USD makes 10-year volatility lows while around 1.5950
    2012-11-23 04:47 GMT | USD/JPY in the red below 82.50 for first time in a week
    2012-11-23 03:40 GMT | USD/CAD 0.99 a decent support area - TDS
    2012-11-23 02:57 GMT | EUR/USD finds bids above 1.2870

    ----------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.28939 LOW 1.28685 BID 1.28939 ASK 1.28940 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08 : 13 : 26



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: We placed our next resistance level above the yesterday high at 1.2899 (R1). If the market manages to overcome it, next resistance in focus would be 1.2917 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting 1.2935 (R3).Downwards scenario: The pair continues to extend its strengthening on the medium- term perspective, however a breach of our next support level at 1.2868 (S1) might trigger downside formation towards to our next targets at 1.2851 (S2) and 1.2839 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2899, 1.2917, 1.2935
    Support Levels: 1.2868, 1.2851, 1.2839

    --------------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.59526 LOW 1.59336 BID 1.59526 ASK 1.59530 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 13 : 27



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: BBA Mortgage Approvals release at 09:30 GMT in focus. Break above the next resistance level at 1.5959 (R1) would suggest next targets at 1.5969 (R2) and 1.5978 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: From the technical side, market sentiment is not clear. Next attractive level for the downside development locates at 1.5939 (S1). Loss here might take the pair towards to eventual targets at 1.5928 (S2) and 1.5918 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5959, 1.5969, 1.5978
    Support Levels: 1.5939, 1.5928, 1.5918

    -----------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.506 LOW 82.181 BID 82.268 ASK 82.272 CHANGE -0.24% TIME 08 : 13 : 28



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Medium term bias remains positive after correction, provided today. Our next resistance is placed at 82.44 (R1). Rise above it might push price towards to next targets at 82.61 (R2) and 82.77 (R3) intraday.Downwards scenario: Instrument trades below the moving averages and we expect the pair to extend its losses later on today. Below the support level at 82.15 (S1) locates initial retracement targets at 81.98 (S2) and 81.82 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 82.44, 82.61, 82.77
    Support Levels: 82.15, 81.98, 81.82

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Rate | Forex News | ECN Forex Broker | FXCC )

  16. #176
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 24 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 24 2012

    Greek deal hopes and China's improving growth momentum lift market mood

    Risky assets advanced this week as economic indicators showed improving growth momentum in China and the US, while the economic recession did not intensify in the eurozone. Optimism about an imminent agreement on a debt-reduction package for Greece also contributed to improve market sentiment. Spain took advantage of more positive market mood and it managed to sell EUR8.8bn in government bonds and Treasury bills, helping sentiment toward risk assets. In this context, negative impact of the French credit rating downgrading was quite mute. Peripheral risk premia narrowed notably across the board this week. Notwithstanding the safe-haven yields rose, the reaction in the short-end of the German yield curve was quite limited. At the end of the week, oil prices fell due to ceasefire agreed between Israel and Hamas, reducing one of the global market headwinds. Finally, Japanese yen is being dragged by expectation of Japanese Liberal Democratic Party expectation to win elections on December 16, which backs an ease monetary policy

    Today's market headlines will be almost entirely dominated by the EU FinMin meeting, with reports over the weekend suggesting a Greece debt deal is still up in the air. On Saturday, finance ministers held a teleconference, which failed to clear up the picture in this regard. The Greek-based paper Kathimerini, citing sources familiar with the talks, suggests an agreement may not be inked until December 3, while portals like Reuters sound more optimistic.-FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/26112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-26 **:00 GMT | European Monetary Union. EcoFin Meeting
    2012-11-26 07:00 GMT | Germany. Retail Sales
    2012-11-26 21:45 GMT | New Zealand. Trade Balance


    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-26 05:31 GMT | EUR/USD, 1.30 or 1.2920 first? EU FinMin to shake up price
    2012-11-26 05:26 GMT | AUD/USD above 1.05 if Greece gets the money - Westpac
    2012-11-26 05:02 GMT | GBP/USD limited below 1.6050


    -------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.29774 LOW 1.29453 BID 1.29453 ASK 1.29459 CHANGE -0.2% TIME 08 : 30 : 18



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Next barrier for uptrend formation locates at Friday’s high- 1.2991 (R1), above here opens the way for a move towards to our targets at 1.3010 (R2) and 1.3029 (R3). Downwards scenario: If the market successfully retest our support level at 1.2946 (S1), we expect further consolidation development with possible targets at 1.2928 (S2) and 1.2909 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2991, 1.3010, 1.3029
    Support Levels: 1.2946, 1.2928, 1.2909

    ------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.60379 LOW 1.60159 BID 1.60169 ASK 1.60173 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08 : 30 : 19



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Resuming of the uptrend is possible above the next resistance level at 1.6051 (R1). Clearance of this level might expose next targets at 1.6067 (R2) and 1.6081 (R3). Downwards scenario: Market deviates from the uptrend formation and currently trades on the session low. Further market decline is limited to next support level at 1.6010 (S1), with only clear break here would be a signal of market weakening with next targets at 1.5996 (S2) and 1.5981 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.6051, 1.6067, 1.6081
    Support Levels: 1.6010, 1.5996, 1.5981

    --------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.622 LOW 82.066 BID 82.083 ASK 82.087 CHANGE -0.35% TIME 08 : 30 : 20



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Our bullish expectations remain intact, above the next resistance level at 82.61 (R1). Break here would suggest next targets at 82.79 (R2) and 82.98 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Bearish penetration below the support at 82.15 (S1) might determine negative sentiment for the remaining of the day with possible targets in focus at 81.96 (S2) and 81.77 (S3) intraday.

    Resistance Levels: 82.61, 82.79, 82.98
    Support Levels: 82.15, 81.96, 81.77

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Charts | Forex Exchange | ECN Forex Online | FXCC )

  17. #177
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 27 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 27 2012

    More funding for Greece finally approved

    The EU reached a deal to reduce Greek debt to 124 % of the GDP in 2020 through a package of extra steps amounting 20 % of GDP, that was the headline from Reuters earlier in the Asian session. Reporters, however, had to arm themselves with patience until concrete details out of Brussels came out. Once the Eurogroup press conference was on past 1am Brussels time, Jean-Claude Juncker, president of the Eurogroup, provided the first remarks to the press, saying "today we reached political agreement on next disbursement to Greece", adding that despite has been a difficult decision, "I am complimenting the Greek gov't, I am complimenting the Greek parliament".

    The Eurogroup will formally decide on the disbursement December 13 if national parliaments approve tonight's deal. For now, what has been written in the draft document is that Greece aid disbursement of around €44 bln will be provided under 3 tranches. The first €34.4 bln loan is expected by mid December once green light from parliaments is given, and through Q1 2013 the rest, subject to implementation of its ongoing austerity program.-FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/27112012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-27 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Gross Domestic Product
    2012-11-27 13:30 GMT | United States. Durable Goods Orders
    2012-11-27 15:00 GMT | United States. Consumer Confidence
    2012-11-27 19:00 GMT | United States. Fed's Beige Book

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-27 05:40 GMT | Greece buys time; Will EUR/USD buy into Greece?
    2012-11-27 05:38 GMT | GBP/USD flat below 1.6050 ahead of UK GDP
    2012-11-27 05:13 GMT | EUR/GBP bid above 0.8100
    2012-11-27 04:15 GMT | AUD/JPY asks above 86 round heavy

    -----------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.30087 LOW 1.29694 BID 1.29856 ASK 1.29862 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08 : 29 : 07



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Up trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Our retail trading market sentiment indicator shows, that majority of traders have sold during the EURUSD appreciation. Penetration above the 1.3010 (R1) might lead to the protective orders execution and drive market price towards to next targets at 1.3029 (R2) and 1.3046 (R3). Downwards scenario: Market stabilized after the previous day’s gains and looks ready to establish correction. Market decline below the next support level at 1.2967 (S1) would suggest next targets at 1.2948 (S2) and 1.2929 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.3010, 1.3029, 1.3046
    Support Levels: 1.2967, 1.2948, 1.2929

    -------------------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.60447 LOW 1.60226 BID 1.60369 ASK 1.60378 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08 : 29 : 08



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Today in focus GDP announcement at 09:30 GMT. Our next resistance level is placed above the local peak at 1.6051 (R1) (High of 23/11/2012). Strengthening above it would point to resistive structure at 1.6067 (R2) onto 1.6081(R3). Downwards scenario: Downside fluctuations remains for now limited to next support level at 1.6025 (S1), only clear break here would be a signal of market easing with next targets at 1.6010 (S2) and 1.5996 (S3) in potential.

    Resistance Levels: 1.6051, 1.6067, 1.6081
    Support Levels: 1.6025, 1.6010, 1.5996

    ---------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.305 LOW 81.858 BID 82.273 ASK 82.279 CHANGE 0.26% TIME 08 : 29 : 09



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Longer term we look for a move above the 82.43 (R1). Loss here might establish new step of uptrend formation and target 82.61 (R2) en route to 82.79 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the short –term perspective we expect market decline. A Bearish signal would be created if the currency dropped below the next support level at 82.09 (S1). We suggest next targets in such scenario at 81.92 (S2) and 81.76 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 82.43, 82.61, 82.79
    Support Levels: 82.09, 81.92, 81.76

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd, (http://www.fxcc.com)

  18. #178
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 28 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 28 2012

    OECD: EU debt crisis a primary threat to world economy

    The OECD released its twice-yearly Economic Outlook on Tuesday in which it cut the global growth forecast and warned that the Eurozone debt crisis is a greater threat to the world economy than the looming US fiscal cliff. "After five years of crisis, the global economy is weakening again," OECD's chief economist Pier-Carlo Padoan warned. "The risk of a new major contraction can't be ruled out." The Paris based organization reduced its global growth forecast for 2012 from 3.4% seen in May to 2.9%, and for 2013 from 4.2% to 3.4%. It also suggested that the Eurozone economy should start growing again in 2013 and that the US should witness a expansion of 2% next year and of around 3% in 2014. An intensification of the debt crisis in the Eurozone could however push the area into a profound recession and damage US recovery.

    The OECD urged governments not to cut spending too much, as it hurts growth. Central banks in the Eurozone, Japan, China and India were advised to boost stimulus to prop up their ailing economies. The organization also allowed for the possibility of Greece not being able to strictly adhere to its reform plan, should recession deepen more than expected. “The agreed consolidation measures should be put in place, but if growth proves lower than assumed in the government's fiscal plans, then the automatic stabilisers should be allowed to operate, even if this means missing the set targets,” the OECD stated.-FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/28112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-28 13:00 GMT | Germany. Consumer Price Index. Preliminar
    2012-11-28 15:00 GMT | United States. New Home Sales
    2012-11-28 19:00 GMT | United States. Fed's Beige Book
    2012-11-28 23:50 GMT | Japan. Large Retailer's Sales

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-28 05:42 GMT | EUR/USD risks losing 1.29; Greece lose ends, US fiscal cliff weigh
    2012-11-28 05:19 GMT | GBP/USD seeing little action, but gently offered toward 1.60
    2012-11-28 05:01 GMT | AUD/USD back to the upper bound of its tiny 30 pip range
    2012-11-28 04:06 GMT | GBP/JPY suffering from risk aversion, holds above 131

    --------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.29452 LOW 1.29118 BID 1.29164 ASK 1.29171 CHANGE -0.2% TIME 08 : 32 : 07



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: The corrective reaction remains in power, though medium-term bias remains positive. In focus our resistance level at 1.2947 (R1), break here would suggest next targets at 1.2967 (R2) and 1.2984 (R3). Downwards scenario: At the moment pair is looing -0.2% and might face next supportive barrier at 1.2900 (S1). Easing below it is essential to enable next targets at 1.2882 (S2) and 1.2865 (S3) in perspective.

    Resistance Levels: 1.2947, 1.2967, 1.2984
    Support Levels: 1.2900, 1.2882, 1.2865

    --------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.60248 LOW 1.59949 BID 1.60013 ASK 1.60022 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 08 : 32 : 08



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
    TREND CONDITION : Sideway
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

    Upwards scenario: The pair posted fresh high yesterday and trapped to consolidative mode trading. A break of technically important level at 1.6021 (R1) might determine positive bias for the remaining of the day. Next suggested targets in this case would be 1.6035 (R2) and 1.6048 (R3). Downwards scenario: Price setup is looking for a pullback development. Downside fluctuations remains for now limited to next support level at 1.5992 (S1), only clear break here would be a signal of market easing with next targets at 1.5980 (S2) and 1.5968 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.6021, 1.6035, 1.6048
    Support Levels: 1.5992, 1.5980, 1.5968

    --------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.211 LOW 81.717 BID 81.767 ASK 81.771 CHANGE -0.47% TIME 08 : 32 : 09



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
    TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Neutral

    Upwards scenario: Instrument trades in gradual descending channel on the hourly chart. Our next resistance level is placed at 81.91 (R1). Brake here is required for a return to the upper side of the channel with possible targets at 82.01 (R2) and 82.10 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 81.66 (S1) might change technical picture and establish downtrend formation on the medium-term perspective. Our next expected target locates at 81.57 (S2) and any further loss would then be targeting to final support for today at 81.47 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 81.91, 82.01, 82.10
    Support Levels: 81.66, 81.57, 81.47

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Signals | ECN Forex Broker | Forex Trade | FXCC )

  19. #179
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 29 2012

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 29 2012

    EU gives the go-ahead to Spanish bank restructuring plan

    The European Commission announced on Wednesday its approval of the plans to restructure Spain's four nationalized banks: Bankia, Nova Caixa Galicia, Catalunya Caixa and Banco de Valencia. Vice President of the European Commission responsible for Competition Policy Joaquín Almunia said in the European morning that the injection of 37 billion euros of the bank rescue would require a 60% reduction in the size of the nationalized financial institutions by 2017.

    Joaquín Almunia informed that during the negotiations with Spanish authorities and the banks in question it was established that the recapitalization funds would be distributed as follows: 18 billion euros for Bankia, 9 billion for Catalunya Caixa, 5.5 billion for Nova Caixa Galicia and 4.5 billion for Banco de Valencia. The four nationalized financial institutions should abandon conceding loans for high risk activities and should transfer 45 billion euros of toxic assets to the newly created bad bank. Catalunya Caixa and Nova Caixa Galicia are expected to be sold before 2017.-FXstreet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/29112012/

    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-29 08:55 GMT | Germany. Unemployment Change (Nov)
    2012-11-29 10:30 GMT | United Kingdom. BoE's Governor King Speech
    2012-11-29 13:30 GMT | United States. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q3)
    2012-11-29 15:00 GMT | United States. Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Oct)

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-29 06:12 GMT | EUR/GBP flat below 0.8100, 50% Fibo
    2012-11-29 05:36 GMT | GBP/USD trying to push higher, eyeing 1.6020
    2012-11-29 05:25 GMT | NZD/USD higher on US 'fiscal cliff' optimism
    2012-11-29 04:09 GMT | EUD/USD bullish while above 1.2885 - Scotiabank

    -------------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.29611 LOW 1.29388 BID 1.29460 ASK 1.29465 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08:50:54



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Next on tap, resistance level at 1.2962 (R1). A break higher could open the door for an attack to next target at 1.2980 (R2) and final immediate resistance is seen at 1.2996 (R3). Downwards scenario: Further retracement formation on the medium-term might occur below the support level at 1.2939 (S1), break here is required to put focus on actual targets at 1.2921 (S2) and 1.2903 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.2962, 1.2980, 1.2996
    Support Levels: 1.2939, 1.2921, 1.2903

    --------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.60202 LOW 1.60081 BID 1.60147 ASK 1.60155 CHANGE 0.01% TIME 08:50:55



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: Upside risk aversion is seen above the resistance at 1.6021 (R1). Any violation of that level would be considered as signal of possible uptrend formation towards to our targets at 1.6031 (R2) and 1.6042 (R3).Downwards scenario: Though, our medium-term outlook is bearish. A break through support level at 1.6005 (S1) is possible en route towards to our intraday targets at 1.5994 (S2) and 1.5983 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.6021, 1.6031, 1.6042
    Support Levels: 1.6005, 1.5994, 1.5983

    -------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.214 LOW 82.006 BID 82.146 ASK 82.151 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08:50:56



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: The pair might face key resistive bastion at 82.22 (R1). A break above it might activate upside pressure and suggest the short-term targets at 82.30 (R2) and 82.39 (R3). Downwards scenario: On a slightly longer term focus has returned to the support at 82.00 (S1). If the market manages to overcome it, next hurdle lies at 81.91 (S2) and 81.82 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 82.22, 82.30, 82.39
    Support Levels: 82.00, 81.91, 81.82

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Forex Brokers | Forex Converter | Forex Expert Advisors | FXCC )

  20. #180
    alayoua

    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 30 2012



    Daily Forex Analysis from FXCC Nov 30 2012

    Moody's predicts softer EU GDPs in 2013

    Following comments from Moody’s about Greece struggling to be back on a sustainable debt path, also adding that they see high odds of Greek default on privately held debt, the rating agency hit back again on Thursday, this time to remind Eurozone countries that growth for 2013 is expected to be meager. According to Moody's, the Euro zone GDP is expected to rise 0.2% next year, with France GDP projection at 0.4%, Germany to show a 1.2% increase, while contractions in the tune of 4.2% and 1.5% are expected in Greece and Spain respectively. If Greece leaves the euro zone, the EU GDP would fall 4.5%, Moody’s forecasts.

    An official from the Greek finance ministry announced on Wednesday plans of hiring Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley to carry out the voluntary bond buyback. He affirmed that Deutsche Bank would take on the role of the principal supervisor, but would work closely together with Morgan Stanley. This decision comes after the EU and the IMF reached an agreement on conducting a debt repurchase aimed at reducing Greek debt to sustainable levels. Details of the buyback will be announced next week by the Greek debt management agency. As it has almost run out of money, the Greek government proposed that it would borrow 10 billion euros from the EFSF, which would allow it to buy 30 billion euros worth of debt, reducing thus its outstanding obligations by 20 billion euros. Greece still hasn't decided at what price it will offer the bond buyback to private holders of bonds.-FXstreeet.com
    https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/30112012/


    UPCOMING EVENTS :
    2012-11-30 07:00 GMT | Germany. Retail Sales (YoY) (Oct)
    2012-11-30 10:00 GMT | European Monetary Union. Unemployment Rate (Oct)
    2012-11-30 13:30 GMT | United States. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index (YoY) (Oct)
    2012-11-30 13:30 GMT | Canada. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (QoQ) (Q3)

    FOREX NEWS :
    2012-11-30 05:39 GMT | GBP/USD flat below 1.6050, ‘favors the upside’ – V.Bednairk
    2012-11-30 05:26 GMT | USD/JPY higher for the session, but still flat for the week
    2012-11-30 04:28 GMT | EUR/USD soon expected to crack 1.30 - UBS
    2012-11-30 03:42 GMT | GBP/JPY capped below 8-month highs 132.50

    ----------------------
    EURUSD :
    HIGH 1.30067 LOW 1.29694 BID 1.30015 ASK 1.30022 CHANGE 0.18% TIME 08 : 21 : 10



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

    Upwards scenario: Extension of the stability above the 1.3013 (R1) level would keep the bullish structure intact and validate next intraday targets at 1.3028 (R2) and 1.3042 (R3). Downwards scenario: The hourly structure might turn into negative scenario if the price mange to overcome next support level at 1.2982 (S1) later on today. Supportive areas locates at 1.2967 (S2) and 1.2951 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.3013, 1.3028, 1.3042
    Support Levels: 1.2982, 1.2967, 1.2951

    ---------------------------------
    GBPUSD :
    HIGH 1.60485 LOW 1.60346 BID 1.60462 ASK 1.60470 CHANGE 0.04% TIME 08 : 21 : 11



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: GBPUSD might find buyers above the important resistance level at 1.6058 (R1) (High of the 27/11/2012). Break here would open route towards to our next targets at 1.6067 (R2) and 1.6077 (R3). Downwards scenario: In regard to the descending movement, opportunities for bearish oriented traders is seen below the support level at 1.6033 (S1). Loss here would enable next supports at 1.6024 (S2) and 1.6013 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.6058, 1.6067, 1.6077
    Support Levels: 1.6033, 1.6024, 1.6013

    ------------------------
    USDJPY :
    HIGH 82.545 LOW 82.046 BID 82.380 ASK 82.385 CHANGE 0.32% TIME 08 : 21 : 12



    OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
    TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

    Upwards scenario: A violation of next resistance at 82.55 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 82.67 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be targeting 82.81 (R3). Downwards scenario: Near-term risks are directed to a drop back to the consolidation formation below the support at 82.28 (S1). In such case our intraday expected targets would be 82.14 (S2) and 82.00 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 82.55, 82.67, 82.81
    Support Levels: 82.28, 82.14, 82.00

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Calendar | Forex Trading Strategies | ECN Trading Forex | FXCC )

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